Monthly Archives: July 2016

Naturally Emergent Properties

Science sees naturally emergent properties, adding identity (and the knowledge of it) at the margin of existence. Over time, things converge and diverge to form a functional design, which is then said to have purpose although there is no need … Continue reading

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Creating the Incentive

The last financial crash was momentous. Its momentum is currently measured by ZIRP. Zero-Interest-Rate-Policy was the tool chosen by the Fed to control for the risk–not reduce it. Again, risk management is an associative property. Kick it out the front … Continue reading

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Familiar Patterns

The technicals have been blown for a long time. Like technical analysts say, a correlation exists until it doesn’t. That means there are other factors in the model to predict the direction of probable risk. Direction is the key term. … Continue reading

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Avoiding the Crowd

(The On-Demand Attribution) Moving in and out of markets is the stock-in-trade of finance. It is an associative property. Correlations rise and fall. It is not a fixed reality. It is subject to interpretation, and a lot of that depends … Continue reading

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Trusting the Signals

Like EPI says, people no longer trust Wall Street. Losing more than 10% of your net worth means that you effectively worked more for less. Your “savings” (capital) was used against you, realized in the form of a liability, lending … Continue reading

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Knowing the Event Probability

The Economic Policy Institute published a newsletter presenting a list of articles recently published, and citations in the news, based on its research. EPI says, for example, demand for payday loans will fall significantly if we raise the minimum wage, … Continue reading

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Getting Close to Being Here Now

(Intending to the Probable Event with Limited Liability) High-frequency traders on Wall Street are the Buddhist monks of credit-risk management. Look at the way HF traders operate. To run in front of the probable event (knowing the event probability because … Continue reading

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