Risk has a mechanical, geometric shape. A mathematical model to describe the natural mechanics of game theory, created by John Nash, for example, is essentially the formula used to price financial options and futures contracts. (See articles by griffithlighton on derivatives markets, risk dimension, and formulation of the risk.)
Political scientists and economists use natural models to predict probable outcomes. These models are based on systematic incentives, which can be geometrically described with predictive utility.
A political scientist can look at Kim Jung Il and say that the systematic incentive is nuclear deterence. Nuclear physics, geometrically, is also a political-risk problem, which (like Kant said) has a naturally moral dimension, integral to knowing what objective reality actually is (with a transactional interpretation existing — addjected — on demand).
If there is a preemptive measure against N. Korea it will be because its autocratic leader demanded it. The natural identity of nuclear weapons is the deterence value, but there is still an on-demand dimension, with some assembly required, naturally existing in a moral, spatial dimension, which Objectivists describe as “arbitrary” and “delusional.”
Nature objectively is what it is, and if you don’t care, it will make you!